Chapter 10 in the R.M. Dolin book, “Truth and Trust in Crisis,” 2021 We have asserted with increasing confidence that CDC data is being manipulated and falsified, causing us to seek other sources of truth from agents we trust. One such source is actuarial data; …
Read MoreOur Post Pandemic Pandemic
Chapter 9 in the R.M. Dolin book, “Truth and Trust in Crisis,” 2021 CDC declares America’s part of the global COVID crisis ended in early June. While this is fantastic news it comes with a cautionary caveat, namely, deadly viruses can have second waves more …
Read MoreThe Gestalt of Multiple Models
Chapter 6 from the R.M. Dolin book, “Truth and Trust in Crisis,” 2021 “Gestalt – The whole is greater than the sum of its parts.” May 5, 2020: Three weeks is forever in a crisis, especially considering all that’s been lost, including, trust. The cumulative …
Read MoreDeclaring the Crisis Over
Chapter 8 in the R.M. Dolin book, “Truth and Trust in Crisis,” 2021 Two timelines determine when the COVID crisis ends, one based on a CDC formula for endemic viruses and the other based on when its politically permissible. We previously calculated the crisis ends …
Read MoreThe Saint Petersburg Paradox
Chapter 7 in the R.M. Dolin book, “Truth and Trust in Crisis.” 2021 May 7, 2020: On a quite evenings over Cuban contraband and homemade bourbon, I often ponder how radicals like Vladimir Lenin and Leon Trotsky were able to overthrow the Russian monarchy and …
Read MoreDeduction versus Induction
Chapter 5 in the R.M. Dolin book, “Truth and Trust in Crisis,” 2021 Computer models never render correct answers, but we expect experts to at least be close in a crisis with so much at stake. For government and academia to be off by a …
Read MoreAdvent of Armageddon
Chapter 4 in the R.M. Dolin book, “Truth and Trust in Crisis.” 2021 On April 1st, the federal government asserts that in thirteen days the COVID crisis reaches its apex and begins to diminish. According to academic model projections, by the time the apex is …
Read MoreFlattening the Curve
Chapter 3 in the R.M. Dolin book, “Truth and Trust in Crisis.” 2021 In late March of 2020, based on dire predictions from academic models, the government announces an effort to spread the millions of projected COVID deaths over a wider timeline so as not …
Read MoreHe’s Already Made Up Her Mind
R.M. Dolin, March 15, 2025, read other poems “We’ve been here beforeand now is not a time for laughter,”Wind warns knowing he won’t listen.The path is clearwhen often traveledbut dangerously easy tooverlook signs to guide your way.He chooses to believe,as he always does,the heart finds …
Read MoreAmerican Haikus
A few years back, I fell in with a cohort of poets who challenged each other to write Haikus on our topic of the day. While others found this highly restrictive form of poetry helped open and expand their creativity, for me the required discipline …
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