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An Engineer's Perspective

An Engineer's Perspective

If an Engineer can't fix it, we're in trouble

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  • An Engineer’s Blog
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National Narratives

Chapter 13 in the R.M. Dolin book, “Truth and Trust in Crisis,” 2021 Like most countries, the US struggles with how best to promote their COVID narrative; Russia for example, denies even having COVID, well at least until they nominate fearless leader for a Nobel …

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National Narratives, Truth and Trust in CrisisMarch 27, 2025May 3, 2025 By R. M. Dolin

Herd Immunity

Chapter 12 in the R.M. Dolin book “Truth and Trust in Crisis,” 2021 Herd Immunity occurs when a significantly large percentage of a population is exposed to a contagion and the contagion dies out for lack of viable hosts and pathways for transmission.[1] A key …

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herd immunity, Truth and Trust in CrisisMarch 26, 2025May 3, 2025 By R. M. Dolin

Quarantines in Crisis

Chapter 11 in the R.M. Dolin book, “Truth and Trust in Crisis.” In response to COVID, states across the nation implement varying forms of quarantine; first to flatten the curve ahead of Armageddon Day on April 14th and then to slow virus spread. As we …

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Quarantines in Crisis, Truth and Trust in CrisisMarch 26, 2025May 3, 2025 By R. M. Dolin

Letting Actuaries Have Their Say

Chapter 10 in the R.M. Dolin book, “Truth and Trust in Crisis,” 2021 We have asserted with increasing confidence that CDC data is being manipulated and falsified, causing us to seek other sources of truth from agents we trust. One such source is actuarial data; …

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Letting Actuaries Have Their Say, Truth and Trust in CrisisMarch 25, 2025May 2, 2025 By R. M. Dolin

Our Post Pandemic Pandemic

Chapter 9 in the R.M. Dolin book, “Truth and Trust in Crisis,” 2021 CDC declares America’s part of the global COVID crisis ended in early June. While this is fantastic news it comes with a cautionary caveat, namely, deadly viruses can have second waves more …

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Post Pandemic Pandemics, Truth and Trust in CrisisMarch 24, 2025April 29, 2025 By R. M. Dolin

The Gestalt of Multiple Models

Chapter 6 from the R.M. Dolin book, “Truth and Trust in Crisis,” 2021 “Gestalt – The whole is greater than the sum of its parts.” May 5, 2020: Three weeks is forever in a crisis, especially considering all that’s been lost, including, trust. The cumulative …

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The Gestalt of Multiple Models, Truth and Trust in CrisisMarch 22, 2025April 23, 2025 By R. M. Dolin

Declaring the Crisis Over

Chapter 8 in the R.M. Dolin book, “Truth and Trust in Crisis,” 2021 Two timelines determine when the COVID crisis ends, one based on a CDC formula for endemic viruses and the other based on when its politically permissible. We previously calculated the crisis ends …

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Declaring the Crisis Over, Truth and Trust in CrisisMarch 21, 2025April 29, 2025 By R. M. Dolin

The Saint Petersburg Paradox

Chapter 7 in the R.M. Dolin book, “Truth and Trust in Crisis.” 2021 May 7, 2020: On a quite evenings over Cuban contraband and homemade bourbon, I often ponder how radicals like Vladimir Lenin and Leon Trotsky were able to overthrow the Russian monarchy and …

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The Saint Petersburg Paradox, Truth and Trust in CrisisMarch 20, 2025April 23, 2025 By R. M. Dolin

Deduction versus Induction

Chapter 5 in the R.M. Dolin book, “Truth and Trust in Crisis,” 2021 Computer models never render correct answers, but we expect experts to at least be close in a crisis with so much at stake. For government and academia to be off by a …

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Deduction versus Induction, Truth and Trust in CrisisMarch 20, 2025April 22, 2025 By R. M. Dolin

Advent of Armageddon

Chapter 4 in the R.M. Dolin book, “Truth and Trust in Crisis.” 2021 On April 1st, the federal government asserts that in thirteen days the COVID crisis reaches its apex and begins to diminish. According to academic model projections, by the time the apex is …

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Advent of Armageddon, Truth and Trust in CrisisMarch 19, 2025April 22, 2025 By R. M. Dolin

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