Chapter 6 from the R.M. Dolin book, “Truth and Trust in Crisis,” 2021 “Gestalt – The whole is greater than the sum of its parts.” May 5, 2020: Three weeks is forever in a crisis, especially considering all that’s been lost, including, trust. The cumulative …
Read MoreDeclaring the Crisis Over
Chapter 8 in the R.M. Dolin book, “Truth and Trust in Crisis,” 2021 Two timelines determine when the COVID crisis ends, one based on a CDC formula for endemic viruses and the other based on when its politically permissible. We previously calculated the crisis ends …
Read MoreThe Saint Petersburg Paradox
Chapter 7 in the R.M. Dolin book, “Truth and Trust in Crisis.” 2021 May 7, 2020: On a quite evenings over Cuban contraband and homemade bourbon, I often ponder how radicals like Vladimir Lenin and Leon Trotsky were able to overthrow the Russian monarchy and …
Read MoreDeduction versus Induction
Chapter 5 in the R.M. Dolin book, “Truth and Trust in Crisis,” 2021 Computer models never render correct answers, but we expect experts to at least be close in a crisis with so much at stake. For government and academia to be off by a …
Read MoreAdvent of Armageddon
Chapter 4 in the R.M. Dolin book, “Truth and Trust in Crisis.” 2021 On April 1st, the federal government asserts that in thirteen days the COVID crisis reaches its apex and begins to diminish. According to academic model projections, by the time the apex is …
Read MoreFlattening the Curve
Chapter 3 in the R.M. Dolin book, “Truth and Trust in Crisis.” 2021 In late March of 2020, based on dire predictions from academic models, the government announces an effort to spread the millions of projected COVID deaths over a wider timeline so as not …
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Chapter 2 in the R.M. Dolin book, “Truth and Trust in Crisis,” 2021 COVID is the first viral crisis of the digital age with unprecedented access to data that should provide high quality information driving good policy and decision making. COVID burst into our lives …
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Chapter 1 from the R.M. Dolin book, “Truth and Trust in Crisis,” 2021 When the history of COVID is truthfully told, long after we’ve learned to filter through political distortions, academic malfeasance, medical malpractice, media sensationalism, and our emotional investment in hysteria, the crisis won’t …
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