Quarantine Day 34: Deduction versus Induction

Fauci, Brix, and the University of Washington Either knowingly Lie or are Absurdly Incompetent

To see other COVID posts, visit my Quarantine blog.

Aristotle is credited for developing the philosophy of logic. He primarily focused his work on the logic of deduction, but recognized there was a competing logic, which he called induction.

Deduction is a method of reasoning that goes from the general to the specific. In deductive logic, a conclusion is necessarily based on a set of premises that are assumed to be true. An example would be the one attributed to Newton; “Gravity acts on all objects (general premise). An apple hit my head due to gravity (specific conclusion). Deduction is the basis of science for things that can be demonstrated (i.e., proven).

Induction is a method of reasoning where a set of premises support a conclusion but don’t necessitate it. Inductive logic moves from particulars to their generalizations. An example of inductive logic is; “My son’s school starts at 8:00. My daughter’s school started at 8:00 (specific premise). Therefore, all schools start at 8:00 (general conclusion). Induction is the basis of science for things that are indemonstrable (i.e., not necessarily proven).

You’re probably wondering what this has to do with my assertion that Drs Fauci, and Brix, and the University of Washington either knowing lie or are absurdly incompetent. Well, to present my argument from assertion to conclusion, I had to define the two approaches we’ll be traversing. We begin with two hypotheses;

  1. Drs Fauci and Brix, and the University of Washington knowing lie.
  2. Drs Fauci and Brix, and the University of Washington are absurdly incompetent.

General Premises for Deduction

  1. Unsubstantiated claims by Fuaci, Brix, and UW lead to government panic and overreach.
  2. Flattening the curve, was never meant to reduce infections or deaths, only spread them out to not overwhelm healthcare system.
  3. In nature, the rate of growth or expansion of most things, including pandemics, follow an exponential growth curve.
  4. It is incumbent on academicians, to ground their work in first principles and to allow that work to be peer reviewed prior to promoting results.
  5. Actuarial data can be used at the end of the year to estimate impact of COVID on annual death rates in the U. S.

Hypothesis Testing Using Method of Deduction – General to Specific

Deduction can be used to demonstrate the two hypotheses are true

  1. Drs Fauci and Brix, and the University of Washington knowing lie.
    • Initially Fauci and Brix used UW models to assert that the goal of social distancing was to “flatten the curve” so the healthcare system would not be overwhelmed. Later they used UW models claim the reason their earlier projections about the number of deaths that would occur were high was because their social distancing measures were working. These two assertions contradict each other, which can only happen if they’re lying.
    • At the end of the year we can subtract the number of people who were estimated to die in 2020 from the number of people who did die and get a good estimate on the impact of COVID.
  2. Drs Fauci and Brix, and the University of Washington are absurdly incompetent.
    • Federal and state governments used model information to enact strong measures. They either had to know the model information has wrong or were too incompetent to know.
    • To date I have not seen a single peer review of federal or academic models but we know their projections have been off by a factor or ten.

Specific Premises for Induction

  1. The U. S. cost of the coronavirus will be $5 trillion.
  2. NIH and CDC directed doctors to attribute deaths to coronavirus.
  3. Medicare pays hospitals $39,000 to treat COVID patients but only $13,000 to treat flu patients.
  4. Dr. Brix admits on April 8th that the U. S. is the only country intentionally overcounting COVID deaths.
  5. New York officials admit to overcounting COVID deaths by 57%.
  6. Numerical models are always wrong, which is why first principle validation should always be done to bound expected outcomes.

Hypothesis Testing Using Method of Induction

  1. Drs Fauci and Brix, and the University of Washington knowing lie.
    • Federal and state governments used model information to close down the economy costing the U.S. $5T. They had to either know the model information has wrong or were too incompetent to understand how out of bounds there were first principles projections.
    • The government pressured medical doctors to overcount COVID deaths and then provided financial inducement.
    • Brix openly admits to fudging numbers, as do New York government officials.
  2. Drs Fauci and Brix, and the University of Washington are absurdly incompetent.
    • Second year students in science are taught the fallacies of relying on numerical models in decision making, they are always wrong.


  1. Ron, in the past I have used the cause and effect vs correlation to also make the argument. Example, did the coronavirus cause the cost to be $5T or did the panic caused by Fauci, etc. cause to cost to be $5T? The correlation between the coronavirus and $5T does not necessarily mean cause and effect. Great job as usual.

  2. I was suggested this website by my cousin. I am not sure whether this post is
    written by him as nobody else know such detailed about my difficulty.
    You’re wonderful! Thanks!

  3. Youre so cool! I dont suppose Ive learn anything like this before. So nice to seek out anyone with some original ideas on this subject. realy thanks for starting this up. this website is something that’s needed on the web, somebody with a bit of originality. helpful job for bringing one thing new to the web!

  4. I抦 impressed, I must say. Actually rarely do I encounter a blog that抯 both educative and entertaining, and let me tell you, you will have hit the nail on the head. Your idea is outstanding; the difficulty is something that not sufficient individuals are speaking intelligently about. I am very joyful that I stumbled across this in my search for something relating to this.

  5. A powerful share, I just given this onto a colleague who was doing a bit of analysis on this. And he in actual fact bought me breakfast as a result of I discovered it for him.. smile. So let me reword that: Thnx for the deal with! However yeah Thnkx for spending the time to discuss this, I feel strongly about it and love studying extra on this topic. If doable, as you grow to be expertise, would you thoughts updating your weblog with more particulars? It’s extremely helpful for me. Huge thumb up for this weblog publish!

  6. Howdy! I just wish to give an enormous thumbs up for the nice data you have here on this post. I shall be coming again to your weblog for extra soon.

  7. Can I simply say what a relief to search out someone who actually knows what theyre talking about on the internet. You undoubtedly know how to bring a difficulty to mild and make it important. More individuals must learn this and perceive this facet of the story. I cant imagine youre no more popular since you definitely have the gift.

  8. I definitely wanted to type a quick word to express gratitude to you for some of the great ways you are placing on this website. My extended internet lookup has at the end of the day been rewarded with high-quality points to talk about with my family members. I would suppose that many of us site visitors are truly fortunate to exist in a magnificent site with so many special individuals with very beneficial concepts. I feel somewhat happy to have used your entire web page and look forward to plenty of more thrilling moments reading here. Thanks a lot once again for all the details.

  9. If you are going for finest contents like myself, only
    go to see this web page everyday because it presents quality contents, thanks

  10. Magnificent site. Plenty of useful info here. I am sending it to a few buddies ans also
    sharing in delicious. And certainly, thank you to your sweat!

  11. Wonderful goods from you, man. I’ve understand your stuff
    previous to and you’re just extremely excellent. I really like what you have acquired here, certainly like what you are stating and the way in which you say it.
    You make it entertaining and you still care for to keep it wise.
    I can’t wait to read much more from you. This is actually a great web site.

  12. Thanks for every other excellent article. Where
    else could anybody get that type of info in such an ideal manner of writing?
    I’ve a presentation next week, and I am at the search for such info.

  13. After going over a handful of the articles on your web site, I seriously appreciate your way of writing a blog.
    I book marked it to my bookmark webpage list and will
    be checking back in the near future. Please visit my website as
    well and let me know what you think.

  14. Pingback: Google

Comments are closed.